Louisiana congressional incumbents to watch national results | Local policy
WASHINGTON — Across the country, politicians are scrambling for last-minute votes for Tuesday’s midterm elections that will determine which party leads 46 state legislatures, 36 governorates and both houses of the US Congress.
But not in Louisiana.
Louisiana won’t choose a governor, state legislators and statewide officials until next year. And at the congressional level, only one incumbent, U.S. Rep. Clay Higgins, R-Lafayette, has serious opposition, but handicappers say he’s relatively safe.
In fact, political handicappers, like Cook Political Report, Morning Consult, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, are sure that Louisiana’s six incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senator John N. Kennedy, R-Madisonville, are eligible for re-election. easily Tuesday night. FiveThirtyEight says Louisiana has no races to watch.
State lawmakers have drawn district lines in Congress that group like-minded voters together in a way that will ensure Louisiana sends five Republican representatives and one Democrat to Washington. Louisiana’s only Democrat is Congressman Troy Carter of New Orleans, and like his fellow Republicans, he faces challengers with little name recognition or money.
The only real question for Louisiana’s congressional incumbents is that, given the number of close races across the country, can Republicans win majorities in the House and Senate?
It’s taken about 20 years, but now the state’s Republican-dominated congressional delegation is able to take on the committee chairs and leadership positions that the Democratic-dominated delegation has held for decades.
“Louisiana is going to be extremely important in the years to come,” said lobbyist Bob Livingston, who as a Republican congressman from New Orleans helped initiate a state delegation’s move to the Democratic-dominated Congress to a Republican-dominated delegation when he replaced Congressman F. Edward. Hebert, who had served 18 consecutive terms and chaired the House Armed Services Committee.
If Republicans win a majority in the House after nationwide votes on Tuesday, House Minority Whip Steve Scalise, R-Jefferson, is expected to become the second-highest-ranking member of Congress as majority leader. in the room. As Vice President of the Republican Conference, Rep. Mike Johnson, R-Benton, will become the fifth highest-ranked member.
Baton Rouge Rep. Garret Graves is well-positioned to take over the House Transportation Committee in a few years. Rep. Julia Letlow of Start is entering her first full term as a member of the powerful Appropriations Committee.
And if he wins, as expected, Rep. Higgins is in the running to chair the House Homeland Security Committee.
Polls open in Louisiana at 6 a.m. Tuesday. Closing of polls at 8 p.m.
In the US Senate, Democrats control 48 seats, plus two independents who caucus with Democrats. Vice President Kamala Harris, as Senate President, gives Democrats a one-vote majority. Republicans have 50 seats.
Fourteen Democratic Senate seats and 21 Republican-controlled seats are up for election.
Three of the disputed Democratic seats are draws – in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona – and a Republican seat in Pennsylvania is also too close to call.
In the US House, Democrats hold 220 of the 435 seats and 218 are needed to control the chamber, the agenda and the direction of committees. Scalise, for example, would determine when committees and the House would operate, which bills would be voted on.
Republicans have 212 representatives in districts that endorse or support the GOP, the handicappers calculate. Democrats hold 188 seats that are secure and lean toward their candidates. Thirty-five seats are up in the air, could go either way, and these races will be the ones to decide which party wins.
Although the results can go either way, midterms are a time when voters assess how well they think the government has performed. Every midterm since 2002, an angry electorate has expelled House and Senate members from the president’s party. When President Barack Obama entered midterm, the Democrats lost 63 seats. President Donald Trump’s midterm lost 40 Republican seats.
In the spring, Republicans spoke of a red tsunami, winning 40, maybe 50 seats in the US House and a four- or five-seat majority in the US Senate. But everything changed over the summer.
The US Supreme Court ruled in June that states can decide abortion access. Many people pushed back against conservatives who wanted to ban all termination procedures, including pregnancies caused by rape or incest.
President Joe Biden has spent the past two years with a wafer-thin majority in both houses of Congress. But with nearly half a century of legislative experience, Biden was able to push through Congress a remarkable amount of legislation that proved popular with many voters: $1.9 trillion to revitalize the economy after more than 18 months of pandemic shutdown; $1.2 trillion to upgrade roads, bridges, ports, build broadband in rural areas and other infrastructure; $739 billion to fight climate change and reduce prescription prices; and $250 billion to help manufacture computer semiconductors.
Republicans have started hammering on rising inflation, rising costs at the grocery store and at the gas station because, they say, the Biden administration has spent so much money.
Although the prices of groceries and gasoline have fallen – as have inflation rates – they are still higher than last year and the year before.
If the Democrats win, Biden will likely work to protect abortion rights by law, increase access to childcare for working people, make college more accessible, and make college more accessible. extend the right to vote.
If the Republicans win, Biden will spend time defending his gains. The GOP has promised to cut much of spending to help contain inflation, increase energy production at lower prices and focus on securing the border with Mexico.
With House scrutiny, Republicans will also launch investigations into the Biden administration’s immigration policies, the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and likely the business dealings of Hunter Biden, the president’s son. The Democratic inquiry into the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol will likely be shelved.
If Republicans win a majority in the U.S. Senate, Biden will struggle to confirm justices and fill positions in federal agencies.
“If we lose the House and the Senate, it’s going to be two horrible years. The good news is I’ll have the veto,” Biden said Friday night after a political fundraiser in Chicago.