With Doncic Dinged Up, will the road team win a fourth consecutive game?
The Clippers vs Mavericks series has so far been all about road teams. Will that continue tonight to produce a tied series and an advantage for the back home Clippers? Or will Dallas step up with Luka Doncic and take a 3-1 lead?
After losing the first two games at Staples Center, the Clippers faced a must-see Game 3 Friday night. They duly delivered, with Kawhi Leonard (36) and Paul George (29) combining for 65 points in the Clippers’ 118-108 victory. There is just as much urgency for tonight’s game. Can they still deliver tonight to level the series?
Los Angeles Clippers (1-2) vs. Dallas Mavericks (2-1), TNT, 9:30 p.m. ET
Clippers vs Mavericks playoff schedule and results
Clippers vs Mavericks Series Betting Odds
Odds of winning the series
- Los Angeles Clippers -114
- Dallas Mavericks -106
Propagation of the series
- Los Angeles Clippers +1.5 (-215)
- Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (+172)
Series Correct Score Odds
- Mowers 4-2 +300
- 4-3 Mowers +200
- Mavericks 4-1 +550
- 4-2 mavericks +320
- Mavericks 4-3 +500
Clippers vs Mavericks Game 4 Betting Odds
- Broadcast: Clippers -3.5 (-110), Mavericks +3.5 (-110)
- Total: MORE THAN 220.5 (-110), LESS THAN 220.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Mowers -162, Mavericks +136
Clippers vs Mavericks Game 4 Betting Consensus
- Disseminate: 40% Clippers, 60% Mavericks (at – / + 3.5)
- Total: 90% MORE, 10% LESS (at O / U 220.5)
- Moneyline: 90% Clippers, 10% Mavericks
The Clippers vs Mavericks odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook starting Sunday, May 30 at 4:45 p.m. ET. For more NBA betting odds, see our NBA odds page. It offers updated odds from FanDuel and other top online sports betting.
Doncic should continue to dominate despite neck strain
It goes without saying that the status of their superstar is most important to the fate of the Mavs tonight and for the future. Doncic suffered from neck and left arm pain in Game 3, and he is officially listed as questionable for Game 4.
But he’ll be playing tonight, and given his production of Game 3, the pain is unlikely to limit him much. He had his most productive result in Game 3, registering 44 points, and it was a rebound and assist from his second triple-double of the series. It was also his best shooting performance in the series, having made 15 of 28 shots from the field and 7 of 13 three-pointers.
If there’s one thing Doncic could improve on, it’s his free throw shot. Doncic was a 73% regular season shooter, but he hasn’t shot well in that series. He did 4 of 7 in Game 1, a terrible 2 of 7 in Game 2 and 7 of 13 in Game 3. It’s not encouraging if he ends up being a close game in the later stages.
With already a triple-double under his belt and a near-crash in Game 3, Doncic’s triple-double chances are a huge value even if his health is a problem. As of this writing, FanDuel Sportsbook has Luka at +390 to register a triple-double.
Limited production of supporting cast Will Doom Dallas
We can expect another exceptional night for Doncic, but how far will it take the Mavs? While he had his best individual performance in Game 3, the supporting cast did it for the first time in the series, which made all the difference. Here’s a look at what everyone not named Luka Doncic did in Games 1-3.
1: 82 points, 27-52 FG (51.9%), 12-25 3PT (48%), 16-19 FT (84.2%)
2: 88 points, 32-53 FG (60.4%), 13-21 3PT (61.9%), 11-17 FT (64.7%)
3: 64 points, 23-58 FG (39.7%), 13-26 3PT (50%), 5-5 FT (100%)
10 of 32 with two-point shots? 10 out of 32. That’s just over 31 percent. It’s unacceptable no matter how you look at it. The Clippers will have no problem allowing Doncic to leave and the Mavs to have a good day away if that ends up being the compromise. Beyond Doncic’s 44-point explosion, no one else has scored more than 14 points, and the rest of the starting lineup has scored just 41 points combined. In Games 1 and 2, the rest of the starting lineup scored 59 and 64 points, respectively.
This Game 3 misfire was the first time this season that the Mavs have failed to make at least 40% of their two-pointers, so it’s safe to assume there won’t be a repeat in the match 4.
Whether they end the game strong or not will be what matters, but the Mavs have started strong so far. In each of the first three games, Dallas led after the first quarter.
Points, points and more points are the way to play today
We haven’t talked much about the Clippers’ attacking success in Game 3, and there really isn’t much to say. They leaned on their two series superstars, and Game 3 was no different.
After taking just 9 of 22 shots in Game 1, Kawhi has been at his best in the past two games. He was 14 of 21 on the field as he scored 41 points in Game 2, and he was 13 of 17 on the field in his performance in Game 3. His point total for tonight’s game is 30. , 5, and he has -142 to score 30 or more points and +188 to score 35 or more points.
On the team side, the road team scored 113, 127 and 118 points in the first three games. Tonight’s point total for the Clippers is 111.5. The question of whether this is worth considering may be whether you also choose to support the Clippers for the victory. The home team only reached that mark in Game 2, when the Clippers scored 121 in their six-point loss.
The top is the consensual total play in tonight’s game, but the first quarter and first half totals should be given more priority. The first quarters had 63, 68 and 65 points, while the first halves had 115, 144 and 124 points.
The Clippers are an overwhelming skinny to win tonight, which will keep the winning streak on the road going. This trend applied not only in this series, but globally in the Western Conference. So far, the road teams are 10-5 SU in all four Western Conference series. And with the unpredictability of the playoffs on the Western Conference side, props and points seem like the place to focus for tonight’s action in Dallas.